We have a simple workflow rule that's been running great for awhile and stopped today.

One of the starting conditions is that the entry be in a certain path, which it is; however, the subscriber trace claims it's in a different folder (and varies if another person tests it):

(You can see the Live Event viewer is correct)

The client shows the correct starting folder:

And the starting rule:

Any ideas why the subscriber trace is reporting an inaccurate path and why the workflow won't start?